Super Six scenarios: Which teams can qualify for the Cricket World Cup 2023

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After their loss against Sri Lanka on Sunday, Zimbabwe need a win against Scotland on Tuesday to book their ticket to the World Cup

Bulawayo – Sri Lanka booked a place for the World Cup later this year with a win over Zimbabwe in the Super Six stage of the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup Qualifier.

The latter are still the overwhelming favourites for the second spot, but two other teams in the chasing pack can also dream of snatching a crucial top-two spot.

The 1996 World Cup champions Sri Lanka made it to the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup in India with an emphatic win over Zimbabwe.

Despite the loss, the Chevrons still have a chance to make it to the mega event later this year.

While Sri Lanka’s unbeaten run helped them to eight points on the Super Six table, Zimbabwe’s only defeat has come against them, and the African side are presently in the second place with six points to their name.

Only the top two teams at the end of the tournament will qualify for the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup 2023.

West Indies will not be among those qualifiers, after the two-time Cricket World Cup champions carried zero points into the Super Six stage then crashed out with a crushing defeat to Scotland.

Here is what each team needs to do to qualify for the Cricket World Cup:

1. Sri Lanka – QUALIFIED

Super Six played: 4
Super Six won: 4 (Oman, Scotland, Netherlands, Zimbabwe)
Super Six points: 8
Net run-rate: +1.817
Still to play: West Indies (7 July)

Sri Lanka have been in ominous form throughout the Cricket World Cup Qualifier, limiting each of their opponents so far to totals under 200 runs during their unbeaten run.

Sri Lanka’s emphatic win over Zimbabwe ensures that they’ll feature in the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup 2023.

The clash with Zimbabwe proved to be a one-sided affair as Sri Lanka cruised to an easy nine-wicket win.

This win ensures that Sri Lanka will remain among the top two sides in the Super Six stage, and hence qualify for the showpiece event in India.

2. Zimbabwe

Super Six played: 4
Super Six won: 3 (Netherlands, West Indies, Oman)
Super Six points: 6
Net run-rate: +0.030
Still to play: Scotland (4 July)

The tournament hosts were in much the same position as Sri Lanka with identical win-loss records till the Sunday clash.

The loss to Sri Lanka might prove to be costly but luckily for the Chevrons they have their fate in their own hands. Now, their follow up match against Scotland would be a second chance to confirm their spot.

If Zimbabwe were to slump to loss against Scotland, they would be in grave danger of handing a Cricket World Cup spot to one of the teams currently below them.

But with a formidable batting line-up powering their success on home soil, Zimbabwe are well-placed to appear in a Cricket World Cup for the 10th time after missing out in 2019.

Likelihood of qualification: High

3. Scotland

Super Six played: 3
Super Six won: 2 (Oman, West Indies)
Super Six points: 4
Net run-rate: +0.188
Still to play: Zimbabwe (4 July), Netherlands (6 July)

Scotland gave their qualification hopes a huge boost with a commanding victory over the West Indies, while effectively knocking out the two-time Cricket World Cup champions at the same time.

Scotland need to win their last two matches against Zimbabwe and Netherlands to qualify for the ICC Men’s World Cup

But Scotland will likely need to win both of their remaining fixtures to stand a chance of qualifying for the Cricket World Cup in India.

A loss to the rampant Sri Lanka in the group stage wasn’t in the best interest of Scotland, but it is the Asian side’s win over Zimbabwe which has given them hope.

This result puts Scotland’s qualification hopes in their own hands. Now a victory over tournament hosts Zimbabwe would then put the two teams level on points. And the Scots will have an added advantage of a remaining game in the Super Six stage.

Likelihood of qualification: Moderate

4. Netherlands

Super Six played: 3
Super Six won: 1 (West Indies)
Super Six points: 2
Net run-rate: -0.560
Still to play: Oman (3 July), Scotland (6 July)

Netherlands surged into the Super Six stage with a stirring Super Over victory over the West Indies, and also gave both Zimbabwe and Sri Lanka a scare with some brilliant batting.

Those honourable losses to the tournament standouts still look set to cost Netherlands dearly, as even a pair of victories in their remaining Super Six matches is unlikely to lift them into a top-two spot.

There is still hope for Netherlands but they would need to win both of their remaining matches by significant margins to boost their lowly net run-rate, and for several results to go their way.

But the Netherlands have already shown at the Cricket World Cup Qualifier that it would be foolhardy to write them off too early.

Likelihood of qualification: Low

5. West Indies

Super Six played: 3
Super Six won: 0
Super Six points: 0
Net run-rate: -0.510
Still to play: Oman (5 July), Sri Lanka (7 July)

The two-time Cricket World Cup champions will not be part of the showpiece event for the very first time after a devastating loss to Scotland ended their qualification hopes.

West Indies, the champions of 1975 and 1979 editions of the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup will miss the global event for the first time.

West Indies carried zero points into the Super Six stage after Netherlands snatched a thrilling victory from them in a Super Over during the group stage, while they also ran out of wickets in a competitive chase against Zimbabwe.

6. Oman

Super Six played: 3
Super Six won: 0
Super Six points: 0
Net run-rate: -2.139
Still to play: Netherlands (3 July), West Indies (5 July)

Oman kicked off their tournament with a pair of rousing triumphs over Ireland and UAE, but arguably impressed even more when giving Zimbabwe a scare while chasing 332 in the Super Six opener.

The Asia nation will now be out to claim at least one more victory to finish their encouraging campaign on a high, although a spot in the Cricket World Cup is already out of reach.

Likelihood of qualification: None

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